Navigating the storm - understanding geopolitics and acting entrepreneurially

Prelude

• Introduction to the topic: Paradigm shift in the international economy.
• Why geopolitics is suddenly back on the agenda.

Module 1: Understanding geopolitics - recognizing risks

Introduction to geopolitical thinking

• What is geopolitics? - Theories, axes of power, actors.
• From the Sykes-Picot world to the multipolar age.
• Case: China vs. USA - New system competition and where do we stand?

Interactive map: Where is the world on fire?

• Analysis of current conflict hotspots (Ukraine, Taiwan, Iran, Red Sea, etc.).
• Who influences whom? Political alliances, hidden players.
• AI, military production and soft power.

Case study round I: Corporate reactions to the war in Ukraine

• Strategic responses to the China-US confrontation.
• Opportunities through re- and friendshoring? What does this mean for my sector?

Moderated discussion with guest contribution
Topic: "Business and morality - where does the calculation end?"

Module 2: Building geopolitical resilience - developing strategies

Risk categories & early warning systems

• Sales at Risk, Employees at Risk, Vendors at Risk.
• What can companies know today - and how can they react?
• Tools & dashboards (BlackRock, WEF, leading indicators).
• Workshop: Create your own risk matrix.

Develop & interpret scenarios

• What to do if ... Taiwan conflict escalates? AI embargo? Cyber war?
• Workshop: Development of a geopolitical scenario for your own company.

Strategies for geopolitical adaptation

• Supply chain strategies, location selection and diplomatic resilience.
• Cooperation with associations, NGOs or governments.